Malaysia Property Price Forecast 2026
1. Key Statistics and Trends
- MHPI growth 2024: 3.3% (decade-high activity)
- MHPI growth 2025: 0.7-1% (stabilization)
- 2026 forecast: 2.5-5% in prime areas; 1-3% national average
- Transaction value H1 2025: RM 107.68 billion (+1.9% YoY)
- Q3 2025 transaction value: +12.5% YoY (shifting to premium assets)
- Unsold units: 26,911 (RM 16.44 billion) mid-2025
2. State-by-State Price Forecast 2026
| State | Forecast Growth | Key Driver | |---|---|---| | Johor | 4-8% | RTS Link, JS-SEZ | | KL (Premium) | 3-6% | KLCC, Bangsar, MK demand | | Penang | 3-5% | Island supply squeeze | | Selangor | 2-4% | MRT3, SARP, landed demand | | Sarawak/Kuching | 4-8% | Digital economy transformation | | National average | 1-3% | Overhang pressure |
3. Why Prices Won't Crash
- OPR stable at 2.75%: Affordable financing continues
- GDP growth 4.5-5.5%: Positive economic backdrop
- Landed homes undersupplied: Strong price floor for terraces
- Infrastructure pipeline: MRT3, RTS, SARP generate real demand
4. What Could Suppress Prices
- 26,911 unsold high-rise units creating competition
- High loan rejection rates (31-45% for RM 500K-700K range)
- Escalating construction costs reducing developer margin, limiting launches
5. Segment Forecast Summary
| Segment | Price Trend 2026 | |---|---| | Landed freehold (Klang Valley) | +3-5% | | Transit-linked condos (MRT) | +3-6% | | Non-transit high-rise | 0-2% | | Industrial property | +3-5% (rents) | | JB CBD / RTS corridor | +5-10% |
Key Takeaways
- National average: modest 1-3% price growth forecast for 2026
- Johor and Kuching are the standout outperformers (4-8%)
- Premium KL (KLCC, Bangsar, MK) at 3-6%
- High-rise non-transit: zero to minimal growth
- Landed freehold continues to outperform due to undersupply